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標題: Breaking New: 日本宣布釋放中國漁船船長 [打印本頁]

作者: lo_pak 時間: 2010-9-23 22:14 標題: Breaking New: 日本宣布釋放中國漁船船長

(明報)2010年9月24日星期五 14:05

在中國反制日本措施不斷升級、並警告日本「後果自負」後，日方今日終於宣布，釋放中國漁船船長詹其雄。

日本《朝日新聞》報道，那霸地方檢察廳今日宣布，釋放於9月7日在釣魚島水域中日撞船事件中，被日本海上保安廳以「防礙執行公務」為由抓扣的41歲「閩晉漁5179號漁船」船長詹其雄。

中國總理溫家寶21日在紐約就釣魚島事件開腔，以強硬措詞，強烈敦促日方立即無條件放人。

溫家寶警告，中方多次嚴正交涉，日方置若罔聞，中國政府不得不採取必要的反制措施。如果日方一意孤行，中方將進一步採取行動，由此產生的一切嚴重後果，日方要承擔全部責任。

作者: rockypath 時間: 2010-9-23 22:19

Good to hear that. Does it say for what reason the Japs releases the captan?

作者: lo_pak 時間: 2010-9-23 22:20

Good lor, hope that's the end... And no more nonsense coming up...

作者: fy789 時間: 2010-9-23 22:22

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作者: lo_pak 時間: 2010-9-23 22:22

回復 2# rockypath

Not yet, have to wait for the press conference...

作者: Lik 時間: 2010-9-23 22:22

日本放人固然係好事，但相信放人之後，中共亦會對釣魚台主權一如已往咁繼續得把口，但卻毫無行動。而釣魚台水域嘅一帶亦繼續由日本操控。

-力

作者: lo_pak 時間: 2010-9-23 22:35

回復 6# Lik

Every time when I look on the map, I just wonder why Diaoyu Islands doesn't belong to either PRC or RC...

作者: soli 時間: 2010-9-23 22:37

日本雖然放人﹐但原因其實未明﹐可能係中國既經濟制裁威脅湊效﹐但也可能是美日在聯合國大會時達成了某些協議﹐例如美國支持日本在釣魚台駐軍。
所以日本拘留船長已無意義﹐放人亦可用作緩兵之計來部署在釣魚台駐軍。
大陸如果大意﹐讓日本在釣魚島駐了軍隊﹐就會真正失去釣魚台主權。

作者: rockypath 時間: 2010-9-23 22:40

回復 8# soli

That is the reason I ask what is the reason for the Japs to release the captan.

作者: peter236 時間: 2010-9-23 22:49

本帖最後由 peter236 於 2010-9-23 22:51 編輯

日本放人固然係好事，但相信放人之後，中共亦會對釣魚台主權一如已往咁繼續得把口，但卻毫無行動。而釣魚台 ...
Lik 發表於 2010-9-23 22:22

You moron~~

Is Taiwan ROC going to send warships to Diaoyu Islands?
Remember that Diaoyu Islands is under Taiwan province.

作者: mukmuk2 時間: 2010-9-23 22:54

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作者: pkphilip 時間: 2010-9-23 23:08

後果自負... what does this mean?? Starting another world war because of the island??

Can't someone just blow the island up so no one will ever fight for it? Or... just mark a line in between and place soldiers there like N/S Korea.

Philip

作者: Lik 時間: 2010-9-23 23:19

日本雖然放人﹐但原因其實未明﹐可能係中國既經濟制裁威脅湊效﹐但也可能是美日在聯合國大會時達成了某些協議﹐例如美國支持日本在釣魚台駐軍。
所以日本拘留船長已無意義﹐放人亦可用作緩兵之計來部署在釣魚台駐軍。
大陸如果大意﹐讓日本在釣魚島駐了軍隊﹐就會真正失去釣魚台主權。
soli 發表於 2010-9-23 22:37

同意 Soli前半部份所講嘅估計。At this point 可以有太多原因令日本放人，但中短期內日本想要響釣魚台駐軍卻唔係一個可行嘅方案。話到尾其實日本最重視嘅其實只不過係東海一帶嘅油氣資源而並非釣魚台本身，而中共所着重嘅就更加只係東海油氣田各處嘅盡早開發同開採。日本假若真係夠薑去釣魚台駐軍嘅話，咁無疑係逼咗中共入死角，就好似今次扣押完再扣押個船長一樣，到時無論係軍事又好、外交又好、經濟又好，中共侷住都一定會做啲野。以日本響可見嘅未來裡面，佢都承受唔起中國大陸嘅呢啲打擊。

當然，以上所講嘅並唔代表中共可以對釣魚台嘅事掉以輕心。因為中國打陸一旦真係制裁日本嘅話，佢自身都要傷返唔少（雖然日本所受嘅打擊會更大）。

-力

作者: peter236 時間: 2010-9-23 23:31

同意 Soli前半部份所講嘅估計。At this point 可以有太多原因令日本放人，但中短期內日本想要響釣魚台駐軍 ...
Lik 發表於 2010-9-23 23:19

You moron~~

Is Taiwan ROC going to send warships to Diaoyu Islands?
Remember that Diaoyu Islands is supposed to be under Taiwan province.

This time, it shows only the PRC can deal with Japan.

作者: Lik 時間: 2010-9-23 23:37

後果自負... what does this mean?? Starting another world war because of the island??

Can't someone just blow the island up so no one will ever fight for it? Or... just mark a line in between and place soldiers there like N/S Korea.
pkphilip 發表於 2010-9-23 23:08

Philip,

As I was saying in another thread, saying stuff like 後果自負 is an extremely common tactic that CPC employs. It is essentially a scare tactic that tries to intimidate the opponent into interpreting the threat as the worse possible outcome, and therefore surrenders before any real action is taken. Sometimes it can be completely useless if the opponent can see through the bluff. At other times, the threat could be quite real. It all depends on the situation at hand, and in this case, I tend to believe that there is some teeth behind the CPC's threats.

The end of the dispute will depend on how soon the oil and gas reserves in the region are developed / depleted, or how soon a co-development agreement is hammered out. The reserves spans the economic regions of both China and Japan, and is strongly believed to be highly connected. China has already started a number of drilling stations in the undisputed sections of the region, and is pumping out the oil and gas resources. But since the reserves in the region are essentially interconnected beneath the ocean floor, the drawing out of resources from the Chinese side means the reserves in the Japanese side will get depleted as well. Since the Mainland already has a huge start on the development of oil/gas wells, they are really in no hurry to let the Japanese join in on the project and take a cut out of the profits. In fact, they probably just prefer to maintain the status quo because it means they can continue to extract the oil and gas reserves -- including what should have/would have been Japan's portion -- all for themselves.

-Lik

作者: soli 時間: 2010-9-24 01:07

其實我反而希望日本在美國支持下駐兵釣魚台﹐這樣表面上美國能繼續圍堵中國﹐日本成功擴張勢力﹐但其實卻會讓中台同仇敵慨﹐加速和解同聯合﹐一致對外。
o甘就會應左推背圖既預言~ lol

作者: peter236 時間: 2010-9-24 02:22

其實我反而希望日本在美國支持下駐兵釣魚台﹐這樣表面上美國能繼續圍堵中國﹐日本成功擴張勢力﹐但其實卻會 ...
soli 發表於 2010-9-24 01:07

Taiwan should send warships to Diaoyu Islands first.
The reason is very simple. Both Japan and Taiwan has defensive agreements with the US. In this case, the US will be forced to stay neutral.
The PRC can then send in their navy to wipe out the Japanese.

作者: mukmuk2 時間: 2010-9-24 06:12

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作者: Lik 時間: 2010-9-24 09:05

The PRC can then send in their navy to wipe out the Japanese.
peter236 發表於 2010-9-24 02:22

叫中共派北洋艦隊過去釣魚台同日本揪過？真係一個無敵嘅建議～

-力

作者: peter236 時間: 2010-9-24 10:49

本帖最後由 peter236 於 2010-9-24 10:51 編輯

叫中共派北洋艦隊過去釣魚台同日本揪過？真係一個無敵嘅建議～

-力
Lik 發表於 2010-9-24 09:05

You moron~~
Taiwan should send warships to Diaoyu Islands first, in order to avoid giving the US an excuse to interfere. The reason is very simple. Both Japan and Taiwan have defensive agreements with the US. In this case, the US will be forced to stay on the sidelines.
The PRC can then send in their navy to wipe out the Japanese.

作者: mukmuk2 時間: 2010-9-24 10:51

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作者: salad_bread 時間: 2010-9-24 15:38

車~~咁快就放人散場，等我仲買左咁多花生添！

作者: peter236 時間: 2010-9-24 22:13

叫中共派北洋艦隊過去釣魚台同日本揪過？真係一個無敵嘅建議～

-力
Lik 發表於 2010-9-24 09:05

阿力仔你晤使驚,東海艦隊一定打沉你呢啲日本自慰隊.

作者: mukmuk2 時間: 2010-9-24 22:16

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作者: mukmuk2 時間: 2010-9-24 22:27

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