本帖最後由 快樂牛郎 於 2010-7-17 01:49 編輯
I think it should be, if you are trading, you should expect to lose it all.
I don't think "expect" is the right word. It should be like, you will still survive even if you lose it all, which is the worst case scenario. Your "expectation" should be a weighted average of all outcomes which is definitely > 0. That's another reason why human capital (yourself) is the biggest investment because as long as you still produce positive cashflow (earnings), you will do fine even if you lose all your savings.
By the way, I strongly believe that the long term growth trend is broken in the US equity market. Trading swings is probably the only way to profit in the next 3-5 years. |