回復 BiscottiGelato
I respect you for your wealth of education, I just do not understand why ...
somewhereintime 發表於 2010-12-12 08:16 
I am not saying China would turn into chaos if democracy mysteriously happens overnight. Even tho I'd say based on the education level of China, when you extend out to really rural areas, I don't know if a centralized government would be better or a democracy would be better...
But my point is, I just don't see how democracy is going to happen overnight in China. Why and how would the current regime give up power? They give it up just because they are nice and give Democracy as a Chirstmas gift to China? How long did it take for Deng to turn back Mao's system? And obviously, to instigate radical changes it will take more than 1 person's will to push it through, you are asking for a lot of people in power to give up their power. I just fail to see under what scenario that this can happen overnight, or over any short period of time (anything under 10 years).
Second only to the era that Deng was in power, the current regime in China probably is bringing in the most rapid pace of developemnt in both the economy and also in civil liberty to China. Counting from the period after the death of Mao, the pace of development in China for both aspects can probably be considered as a miracle given the population being involved.
From my limited knowledge in various foreign history, there probably is no precedent example of a centralized communist government changing into a democratic system without going through some sort of economic hardship, political collapse or maybe outright war. I applaud the current CCP's regime's effort in attempting at a slow transition (at least some in there probably is attempting that, definately not all). Even if they fail I really won't blame them for that. Regardless, I don't think there's much people that'd wish for either economic hardship or war for China. Given that China seems to be fairly politically stable, a rapid change to democracy without blood being shed is unlikely.
I think much of the current criticism is misplaced, esp for the LXB incident which I think is purely provoked by Western powers. More-over, the value that LXB brought towards democracy IMO is limited, if any at all. All the recent turmoil probably makes CCP officials to place even more mistrust at the public and the Western media at large, becoming even more reluctant to give up power. And definately, he did not bring any contribution to peace, that's for sure.
Obviously there's still a lot of things that CCP did completely wrong in almost any one's opinion. The first one to blame, probably is Mao himself. For reigning terror to China for some 20/30 years. Probably destroyed another 100 years of progress right there... For the current incident however, LXB saw it coming when he did what he did. I can't exactly blame CCP for the predictable reaction that they are taking on both the LXB and NPP fiasco. |