shutterbug

原帖由 快樂牛郎 於 2009-1-30 00:39 發表
TXT似乎唔錯
可以研究下

hm...this one dropped 30% today as well...how come you guys like to pick something that dropped so much?

Technical player?

快樂牛郎

原帖由 shutterbug 於 2009/1/29 23:39 發表


I respect your courage to forecast this....but unfortunately it has not gone your way....today fell 30% to $8.56.

Cheers!

But it did rebound for a few days after his recommendation.
And he already said it's 短炒ONLY
So maybe he wanted you to sell the next day?

快樂牛郎

原帖由 shutterbug 於 2009/1/29 23:42 發表

hm...this one dropped 30% today as well...how come you guys like to pick something that dropped so much?

Technical player?

Value player.

shutterbug

how do you determine the value of a stock?  mind to share your way?

快樂牛郎

原帖由 shutterbug 於 2009/1/30 00:07 發表
how do you determine the value of a stock?  mind to share your way?

I don't study individual stocks. I take a top down approach.

As regard to how to determine if an industry is under-valued, I look to see if there are close substitutes and whether it's a need or a luxury.  That's why I pay close attention to water transportation, oil/natural gas and commodities.  They are irreplaceable.  They are indeed driven by supply and demand, but supply is surely limited while demand fluctuates.  The only key question is whether the companies in question can survive the storm, not whether the industries will pick up again.  So to tackle this problem, I buy a basket of 5 to 10 different stocks in every industry that I am interested in.  That's why you need a low cost broker.

peter236

DRYS is down again. Is it cheap enough now?

shutterbug

原帖由 peter236 於 2009-1-30 21:43 發表
DRYS is down again. Is it cheap enough now?

"do not catch a falling knife"...lol

快樂牛郎

原帖由 peter236 於 2009/1/30 20:43 發表
DRYS is down again. Is it cheap enough now?

Not cheap to me, since I sold at 6.