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港人不滿民生創19年新高

http://inews.mingpao.com/htm/inews/20110714/gb41656c.htm

港人不滿民生創19年新高 (17:12)

港大民意研究計劃的最新民調顯示,市民不滿民生狀況創19年新高,比率達58%,較3個月前升9個百分點。

研究計劃在6月27至7月5日,訪問了1011名香港巿民,發現在七一遊行前後,不論是以絕對或相對關注程度計,巿民無疑最關注民生問題,然後是經濟和政治問題。

至於滿意程度方面,巿民對當前的經濟、政治和民生狀況都全部出現負數,滿意淨值(滿意度減至不滿意度)分別為負10%、負39%和負42%,當中不滿民生狀況的比率更創出調查自1992年開始以來新高。

深入分析顯示,18至49歲被訪者較不滿民生狀況。此外,市民對政治狀況的不滿程度亦上升至2004年6月以來的新高。(即時新聞)

哦,完來中大係唔曉sampling既。
S Internatsionalom
Vospryanet rod lyudskoy!

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You can use online calculator to work out the sample size.  

Using http://www.raosoft.com/samplesize.html, it seems 1011 is not a random number for sample size.  With population of 7M, 58% distribution, 99% confidence level and 4% margin of error (1 in 25 to be wrong) -> you need a sample size of 1011.

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本帖最後由 lo_pak 於 2011-7-16 12:02 編輯

回復 51# zoids

I don't want to explain the maths here, it seems like you are lacking the background for stats (quite time consuming for me , those stuffs should be the next chapter after normal distribution, standard deviation?? Seems like you only know mean, mode and median... ). Whatsoever, there's whole bunch of info on web you can search for random sampling, population size, sample size... they are all simple concepts in stats...

BTW, it's not easy to setup an unbiased and objective survey (esp. for those setup by HKU, they are famous), if you really want to know more you have to study a little harder NOW...

知之為知之, 不知為不知, 是為知也...

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Random representative sampling is the most fundamental concept in stats. If you don't even have any fxxking clue what "representative sample" means (let alone data extrapolation), then not only are you unqualified to comment on the stats aspect of the survey, you don't even qualify to have any sort of common sense about math and logic at all.

At a layman's level, you don't need to go to politician school or even study political science to understand basic politics. Social science 11 alone devoted a good portion of the school year to teach you this. But I suppose you are too fxxking stupid to understand or recall any of it.

Just because you are fxxking stupid yourself doesn't mean I need to be at the same (low) level as you. Never assume other people are as stupid as you are.

-Lik

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一句 "never heard of this kind of stat" 就想甩身?連 random sampling 都唔撚識嘅話,你學乜撚野出來同 ...
Lik 發表於 2011-7-15 22:46


Wow... PMS much?  It's not even you who pointed out how the stat might work and even that guy provided nothing to prove he is right.  It is normal that I still don't get the stat part since he failed to explain his math.  He only stated his opinion which is not included in the article and I admit I am not a mathematician nor statistician.  How about you?

You aren't real activists or true politicians.  Why didn't you stop talking about politics?

What a BS spewing double standard hypocrite.  Look yourself in the mirror before criticizing others without thinking.

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they have the highest standard of living among cities in china yet they have the lowest satisfaction

just a bunch of greedy people who are never satisfied

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回復  lo_pak

Oh, never heard of this kind of stats...

Did they changed the syllabus now in high s ...
zoids 發表於 2011-7-15 16:14

一句 "never heard of this kind of stat" 就想甩身?連 random sampling 都唔撚識嘅話,你學乜撚野出來同人講 statistics?明明錯到貼地仲要扮晒無野/好少事咁來死不認錯。不過你呢庭賤人,絲毫不知羞恥就預咗㗎喇~

-力

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回復 22# lo_pak

Oh, never heard of this kind of stats...

Did they changed the syllabus now in high school or I am just getting too old.  This definitely not in my high school back then.

Say whatever you want, this kind of math never happens in my life. Period.

I wonder what theory or why such a small percentage sample can represent the entire population with just +/- 4% error... I guess that's why I am not a mathematician.

Oh well...

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Just allow mad dog Wong to become the CEO, put him on the defensive.

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