Just hard data. Up, down or whatever, you be the judge. From http://f.redflagdeals.com/showthread.php?t=1194032
(Updated Nov 1, 2012)
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DETACHED - $1,116,100
- Down 9.6% in 8 months from all-time high in Feb, 2012 ($1,235,200)
APARTMENT - $429,400
- Down 11.1% in 18 months from all-time high in Apr, 2011 ($483,400)
ATTACHED - $583,400
- Down 1.4% in 7 months from all-time high in Mar, 2012 ($593,100)
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BOOM #1
- Mar/79 @ $73,200
- Apr/81 @ $181,200 (147% increase in 25 months - 102% with inflation)
- Dec/84 @ $113,300 (38% decline in 45 months - 51% with inflation)
BOOM #2
- Jun/88 @ $177,100
- Jul/96 @ $426,400 (140% increase in 97 months - 92% with inflation)
- Feb/99 @ $339,900 (20% decline in 31 months - 23% with inflation)
BOOM #3
- Jan/02 @ $363,900
- Feb/08 @ $920,600 (153% increase 73 months - 100% with inflation)
Let's stop here and take a look at where we are. A 153% increase (100% with inflation). It looks strangely familiar to when the two previous bubbles burst. Now would be a good time to predict a bubble burst... and... sure enough, wouldn't you know it? The bubble "pops" (or so everyone thinks). In Feb 2008, prices start dropping, and they drop almost 20% over the summer. It was supposed to end here... but it didn't. The government steps in with super low interest rates and prevents the normal cycle from happening. Not only does the market recover almost immediately, but the bubble continus to grow at an alarming rate. So what ends up happening? Here is where we end up, exactly 4 years later:
- Feb/12 @ $1,235,200 (239% increase in 121 months - 177% with inflation) |