On the change side, Abbott, in his own way, took as much distance from the Campbell style as Clark. He still bore the scars of an internal showdown or two with the outgoing premier, adding to the credibility of his promise to be more open and less controlling.
Abbott's supporters from caucus outnumbered those of Falcon. But in terms of the Campbell government establishment, they were mostly the B-team. Junior ministers and backbenchers who'd been passed over by Campbell for one reason or another.
But as the campaign unfolded Abbott took pains to assure party members that he would only take the change thing so far. He stepped up his attacks on Clark and announced that if he couldn't win the thing himself, he'd take Falcon the insider over her any day.
It muddied his own message and reinforced Clark's -- if Liberals wanted a change from the Campbell era, there was only one way to vote -- for her. They did.
Abbott, once thought to be in second and touted as a possible compromise candidate, finished third. His second choices went to Falcon, but not enough of them to make the difference.
End result: Clark won with 52 per cent of the vote, Falcon with 48 per cent.
Or to put it another way, a small margin in favour of change, with a strong sentiment for stay the course. And note the ideological split as well, for Clark is a Liberal, Falcon a Conservative.
At first glance, it portends a divided party, and a major challenge to the winner, to bring the losers close enough to produce the necessary degree of unity, while at the same time showing the public she means it about change.
She'll have her work cut out for her.
But a win is a win. And no question, she'll make for a fascinating story. |